Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Mike Perry
Daniel Rodriguez
39%
61%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
30
Age
Δ 5y
34
14-9
Career record
Δ 16 pp
20-6
L1
Current streak
L1
14
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Perry: 61 sig / 2 TD ·
Rodriguez: 129 sig / 0 TD
Mike Perry
Daniel Rodriguez
57
Sig strikes landed
71
137
Sig strikes attempted
147
66
Total strikes landed
82
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
82s
Control time
56s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mike Perry
"Platinum"
14-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
14 fights · 7-7
Last 5
L
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
Blue corner
L1
Daniel Rodriguez
"D-Rod"
20-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—