Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Hunter Azure
Jack Shore
28%
72%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
29
Age
Δ 3y
26
10-2
Career record
Δ 2 pp
18-3
W1
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Azure: 45 sig / 0 TD ·
Shore: 36 sig / 6 TD
Hunter Azure
Jack Shore
36
Sig strikes landed
45
75
Sig strikes attempted
100
46
Total strikes landed
68
0.5
Takedowns landed
2.6
1.8
Takedowns attempted
8.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
68s
Control time
286s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Hunter Azure
10-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
Blue corner
W2
Jack Shore
"Tank"
18-3
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—