Back to UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland
Prelims1 Featherweight

Luis Saldana vs Jordan Griffin

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Luis Saldana
Jordan Griffin
58% 42%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Saldana: 36 sig / 0 TD · Griffin: 33 sig / 4 TD
Luis Saldana
Jordan Griffin
38
Sig strikes landed
38
78
Sig strikes attempted
76
55
Total strikes landed
56
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.7
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
104s
Control time
197s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
27%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Luis Saldana

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
L1

Jordan Griffin

"Native Psycho"
18-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
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