Back to UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Prelims1 Welterweight

Dwight Grant vs Stefan Sekulic

UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 ·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Dwight Grant
Stefan Sekulic
45% 55%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
37
Age
Δ 7y
29
11-7
Career record
Δ 9 pp
12-5
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Grant: 49 sig / 1 TD · Sekulic: 33 sig / 3 TD
Dwight Grant
Stefan Sekulic
33
Sig strikes landed
28
74
Sig strikes attempted
57
49
Total strikes landed
47
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.7
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
86s
Control time
210s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Dwight Grant

"The Body Snatcher"
11-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
37
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
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W UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
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Blue corner
L1

Stefan Sekulic

12-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
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