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Prelims1 Lightweight

Austin Hubbard vs Dakota Bush

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Austin Hubbard
Dakota Bush
59% 41%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
L1
Current streak
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5
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hubbard: 67 sig / 1 TD · Bush: 41 sig / 1 TD
Austin Hubbard
Dakota Bush
47
Sig strikes landed
39
94
Sig strikes attempted
93
61
Total strikes landed
48
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
142s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Austin Hubbard

"Thud"
17-11
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
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W UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
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L UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
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W UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
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L UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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Blue corner

Dakota Bush

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27