Prelims1
Bantamweight
Montel Jackson vs Jesse Strader
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Montel Jackson
Jesse Strader
78%
22%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
L1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jackson: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
Strader: 14 sig / 0 TD
Montel Jackson
Jesse Strader
41
Sig strikes landed
27
82
Sig strikes attempted
56
71
Total strikes landed
33
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
219s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Montel Jackson
"Quik"
15-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
L
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
Blue corner
Jesse Strader
"Sui Generis"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30