Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Trevin Giles
Roman Dolidze
59%
41%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
29
Age
Δ 4y
33
17-7
Career record
Δ 5 pp
16-5
W2
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Giles: 27 sig / 1 TD ·
Dolidze: 32 sig / 1 TD
Trevin Giles
Roman Dolidze
35
Sig strikes landed
37
78
Sig strikes attempted
74
47
Total strikes landed
55
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.8
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
66s
Control time
170s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Trevin Giles
17-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
Blue corner
W2
Roman Dolidze
16-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—