Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Bruno Silva
JP Buys
56%
44%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
31
Age
Δ 6y
25
L2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Silva: 37 sig / 1 TD ·
Buys: 17 sig / 0 TD
Bruno Silva
JP Buys
41
Sig strikes landed
45
94
Sig strikes attempted
99
57
Total strikes landed
57
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
178s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Bruno Silva
"Bulldog"
15-9-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
Blue corner
JP Buys
"Young Savage"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25