Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Tai Tuivasa
Harry Hunsucker
73%
27%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
W1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Tuivasa: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Hunsucker: 2 sig / 0 TD
Tai Tuivasa
Harry Hunsucker
36
Sig strikes landed
32
70
Sig strikes attempted
62
56
Total strikes landed
42
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
0.9
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
61%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Tai Tuivasa
"Bam Bam"
16-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—
L
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—
L
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
Blue corner
Harry Hunsucker
"The Hurricane"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32