Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rani Yahya
Ray Rodriguez
74%
26%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
36
Age
Δ 3y
33
28-12-2
Career record
Δ 3 pp
16-9
D1
Current streak
L1
17
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Yahya: 8 sig / 2 TD ·
Rodriguez: 3 sig / 0 TD
Rani Yahya
Ray Rodriguez
27
Sig strikes landed
28
56
Sig strikes attempted
56
66
Total strikes landed
45
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
294s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
44%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Rani Yahya
28-12-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
17 fights · 11-4
Last 5
D
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
L
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
Blue corner
L1
Ray Rodriguez
"The Judge"
16-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—