Prelims1
Featherweight
Charles Jourdain vs Marcelo Rojo
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Charles Jourdain
Marcelo Rojo
73%
27%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
25
Age
Δ 7y
33
D1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Jourdain: 106 sig / 0 TD ·
Rojo: 74 sig / 1 TD
Charles Jourdain
Marcelo Rojo
60
Sig strikes landed
51
128
Sig strikes attempted
115
71
Total strikes landed
58
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
0.3
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.60
Knockdowns
0.20
71s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Charles Jourdain
"Air"
18-8-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 1-2
Last 4
D
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
Blue corner
Marcelo Rojo
"Pitbull"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33