Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Eryk Anders
Darren Stewart
66%
34%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
18-10
Career record
Δ 7 pp
12-9
L1
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Could Not Continue · Round 1
Anders: 43 sig / 3 TD ·
Stewart: 15 sig / 0 TD
Eryk Anders
Darren Stewart
44
Sig strikes landed
34
91
Sig strikes attempted
73
60
Total strikes landed
45
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
146s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Eryk Anders
"Ya Boi"
18-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
L
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
Blue corner
L1
Darren Stewart
"The Dentist"
12-9
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
11 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—