Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Angela Hill vs Ashley Yoder
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Angela Hill
Ashley Yoder
58%
42%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
36
Age
Δ 3y
33
19-17
Career record
Δ 3 pp
9-9
L2
Current streak
W1
16
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hill: 77 sig / 1 TD ·
Yoder: 34 sig / 2 TD
Angela Hill
Ashley Yoder
67
Sig strikes landed
78
112
Sig strikes attempted
165
94
Total strikes landed
89
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.3
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
143s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
19-17
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
16 fights · 7-9
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Ashley Yoder
"SpiderMonkey"
9-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
8 fights · 3-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—