Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dan Ige
Gavin Tucker
61%
39%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 5"
66"
30
Age
Δ 5y
35
19-12
Career record
Δ 21 pp
14-3
L1
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ige: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Tucker: 1 sig / 0 TD
Dan Ige
Gavin Tucker
61
Sig strikes landed
53
140
Sig strikes attempted
129
81
Total strikes landed
70
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
88s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Dan Ige
"100K"
19-12
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
Blue corner
W3
Gavin Tucker
"Guv'nor"
14-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
L
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
—