Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Gillian Robertson
Miranda Maverick
52%
48%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
26
Age
Δ 2y
24
17-9
Career record
Δ 10 pp
18-6
L1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Robertson: 27 sig / 2 TD ·
Maverick: 71 sig / 3 TD
Gillian Robertson
Miranda Maverick
28
Sig strikes landed
33
66
Sig strikes attempted
63
45
Total strikes landed
53
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.3
4.9
Takedowns attempted
0.4
-0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
209s
Control time
69s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
40%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Gillian Robertson
"The Savage"
17-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
Blue corner
W1
Miranda Maverick
"Fear The"
18-6
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—