Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Shane Young
Omar Morales
64%
36%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
73"
28
Age
Δ 8y
35
13-9
Career record
Δ 10 pp
11-5
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Young: 46 sig / 1 TD ·
Morales: 69 sig / 2 TD
Shane Young
Omar Morales
54
Sig strikes landed
53
139
Sig strikes attempted
136
66
Total strikes landed
64
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
99s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Shane Young
"Smokin'"
13-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
—
Blue corner
L1
Omar Morales
"Venezuelan Fighter"
11-5
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—