Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Song Yadong
Kyler Phillips
72%
28%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 5"
72"
23
Age
Δ 2y
26
24-9-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
13-5
W1
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yadong: 67 sig / 0 TD ·
Phillips: 59 sig / 3 TD
Song Yadong
Kyler Phillips
54
Sig strikes landed
50
133
Sig strikes attempted
114
69
Total strikes landed
62
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
76s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Song Yadong
"Kung Fu Kid"
24-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
6 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
Blue corner
W2
Kyler Phillips
"The Matrix"
13-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—