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Prelims2 Light Heavyweight

Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Carlos Ulberg

UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Carlos Ulberg
45% 55%
Why
83"
Reach
Δ 6"
77"
29
Age
Δ 2y
30
W1
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Nzechukwu: 82 sig / 0 TD · Ulberg: 146 sig / 0 TD
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Carlos Ulberg
37
Sig strikes landed
37
87
Sig strikes attempted
80
54
Total strikes landed
52
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
76s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Kennedy Nzechukwu

"Chosen"
15-6-1
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
83"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
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Blue corner

Carlos Ulberg

"Black Jag"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30