🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Featherweight
Amanda Nunes vs Megan Anderson
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Amanda Nunes
Megan Anderson
84%
16%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
33
Age
Δ 2y
31
24-5
Career record
Δ 12 pp
12-5
W8
Current streak
W2
14
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Nunes: 18 sig / 0 TD ·
Anderson: 2 sig / 0 TD
Amanda Nunes
Megan Anderson
60
Sig strikes landed
33
87
Sig strikes attempted
68
96
Total strikes landed
36
2.4
Takedowns landed
0.3
4.1
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
332s
Control time
42s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
39%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W8
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
24-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
14 fights · 13-1
Last 5
W
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
W
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
Blue corner
W2
Megan Anderson
12-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—
W
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
L
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—