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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Vince Cachero vs Ronnie Lawrence

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Vince Cachero
Ronnie Lawrence
44% 56%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
31
Age
Δ 3y
29
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Cachero: 15 sig / 0 TD · Lawrence: 77 sig / 8 TD
Vince Cachero
Ronnie Lawrence
43
Sig strikes landed
52
81
Sig strikes attempted
100
50
Total strikes landed
64
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
79s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Vince Cachero

"The Anomaly"
7-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
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Blue corner

Ronnie Lawrence

"The Heat"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
29