Back to UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Dustin Jacoby vs Maxim Grishin

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Dustin Jacoby
Maxim Grishin
40% 60%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
33
Age
Δ 4y
37
23-9-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
33-10-2
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jacoby: 57 sig / 0 TD · Grishin: 66 sig / 0 TD
Dustin Jacoby
Maxim Grishin
34
Sig strikes landed
32
79
Sig strikes attempted
70
45
Total strikes landed
45
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
74s
Control time
67s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Dustin Jacoby

"The Hanyak"
23-9-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—
L UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
L UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
W1

Maxim Grishin

"Maximus"
33-10-2
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
L UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—