Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Alexis Davis vs Sabina Mazo
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Alexis Davis
Sabina Mazo
40%
60%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
36
Age
Δ 12y
24
21-12
Career record
Δ 8 pp
10-4
L3
Current streak
W3
11
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Davis: 49 sig / 3 TD ·
Mazo: 64 sig / 0 TD
Alexis Davis
Sabina Mazo
61
Sig strikes landed
69
136
Sig strikes attempted
149
97
Total strikes landed
95
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.6
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
250s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Alexis Davis
21-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
Blue corner
W3
Sabina Mazo
"Colombian Queen"
10-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—