Main
Women's Flyweight
Montana De La Rosa vs Mayra Bueno Silva
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Montana De La Rosa
Mayra Bueno Silva
68%
32%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
13-10-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
11-7-1
L1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
De La Rosa: 30 sig / 3 TD ·
Bueno Silva: 52 sig / 0 TD
Montana De La Rosa
Mayra Bueno Silva
36
Sig strikes landed
40
95
Sig strikes attempted
79
73
Total strikes landed
59
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
280s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Montana De La Rosa
13-10-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
Blue corner
W1
Mayra Bueno Silva
"Sheetara"
11-7-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—