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Main Women's Bantamweight

Ketlen Vieira vs Yana Santos

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Ketlen Vieira
Yana Santos
63% 37%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
30
Age
Δ 2y
31
17-5
Career record
Δ 8 pp
18-8
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vieira: 7 sig / 3 TD · Santos: 47 sig / 0 TD
Ketlen Vieira
Yana Santos
42
Sig strikes landed
48
97
Sig strikes attempted
101
82
Total strikes landed
84
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.2
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
256s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Ketlen Vieira

"Fenomeno"
17-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
L UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
W UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
W UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
W UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Blue corner
W1

Yana Santos

18-8 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
W UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
L UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya