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Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Karol Rosa vs Joselyne Edwards

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Karol Rosa
Joselyne Edwards
62% 38%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
26
Age
Δ 1y
25
20-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
19-6
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rosa: 57 sig / 4 TD · Edwards: 38 sig / 1 TD
Karol Rosa
Joselyne Edwards
63
Sig strikes landed
84
139
Sig strikes attempted
174
96
Total strikes landed
86
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.1
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
-0.10
430s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
86%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
4%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Karol Rosa

20-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
W UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
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Blue corner
W1

Joselyne Edwards

"La Pantera"
19-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
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