Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Molly McCann vs Lara Procopio
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Molly McCann
Lara Procopio
43%
57%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 6"
68"
31
Age
Δ 6y
25
14-9
Career record
Δ 9 pp
7-3
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
McCann: 37 sig / 0 TD ·
Procopio: 36 sig / 7 TD
Molly McCann
Lara Procopio
82
Sig strikes landed
74
165
Sig strikes attempted
166
95
Total strikes landed
73
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
176s
Control time
176s
Method
Decision
80%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Molly McCann
"Meatball"
14-9
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
Blue corner
L1
Lara Procopio
7-3
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—