Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Diego Ferreira
Beneil Dariush
44%
56%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
36
Age
Δ 4y
32
20-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
24-8-1
W6
Current streak
W5
10
UFC fights in our DB
18
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Ferreira: 54 sig / 0 TD ·
Dariush: 62 sig / 5 TD
Diego Ferreira
Beneil Dariush
40
Sig strikes landed
50
103
Sig strikes attempted
93
48
Total strikes landed
57
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.7
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
73s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Diego Ferreira
20-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
Blue corner
W5
Beneil Dariush
24-8-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
18 fights · 13-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
W
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—