Back to UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Ricky Simon vs Gaetano Pirrello

UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny ·Etihad Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ricky Simon
Gaetano Pirrello
75% 25%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 4"
65"
28
Age
Δ 0y
29
W1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Simon: 17 sig / 7 TD · Pirrello: 6 sig / 0 TD
Ricky Simon
Gaetano Pirrello
46
Sig strikes landed
37
103
Sig strikes attempted
90
64
Total strikes landed
47
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.2
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
194s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Ricky Simon

23-7-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
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L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
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L UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
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W UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
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W UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
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Blue corner

Gaetano Pirrello

"El Tigre"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29