Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mike Davis
Mason Jones
35%
65%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
28
Age
Δ 3y
26
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Davis: 108 sig / 3 TD ·
Jones: 117 sig / 1 TD
Mike Davis
Mason Jones
50
Sig strikes landed
48
97
Sig strikes attempted
95
58
Total strikes landed
62
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
48s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Mike Davis
"Beast Boy"
13-3
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
Blue corner
Mason Jones
"The Dragon"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26