Main
Featherweight
Lerone Murphy vs Douglas Silva de Andrade
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Lerone Murphy
Douglas Silva de Andrade
59%
41%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 5"
68"
30
Age
Δ 6y
36
18-1-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
30-7
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Murphy: 48 sig / 1 TD ·
Silva de Andrade: 39 sig / 1 TD
Lerone Murphy
Douglas Silva de Andrade
42
Sig strikes landed
37
108
Sig strikes attempted
92
54
Total strikes landed
47
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.2
3.6
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
155s
Control time
51s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Lerone Murphy
"The Miracle"
18-1-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
D
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
Blue corner
W1
Douglas Silva de Andrade
"D Silva"
30-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
L
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—