Main
Women's Flyweight
Roxanne Modafferi vs Viviane Araujo
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Roxanne Modafferi
Viviane Araujo
47%
53%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
38
Age
Δ 4y
34
26-21
Career record
Δ 11 pp
14-7
W1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Modafferi: 46 sig / 0 TD ·
Araujo: 86 sig / 4 TD
Roxanne Modafferi
Viviane Araujo
56
Sig strikes landed
66
157
Sig strikes attempted
157
92
Total strikes landed
84
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.8
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
227s
Control time
49s
Method
Decision
83%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Roxanne Modafferi
"The Happy Warrior"
26-21
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
Blue corner
W1
Viviane Araujo
"Vivi"
14-7
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
L
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—