Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Andre Ewell
Chris Gutierrez
37%
63%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 8"
67"
33
Age
Δ 3y
30
18-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
22-7-3
W2
Current streak
D1
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ewell: 59 sig / 1 TD ·
Gutierrez: 69 sig / 1 TD
Andre Ewell
Chris Gutierrez
56
Sig strikes landed
66
148
Sig strikes attempted
145
66
Total strikes landed
79
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
56s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Andre Ewell
"Mr. Highlight"
18-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
Blue corner
D1
Chris Gutierrez
"El Guapo"
22-7-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 3-1
Last 5
D
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—