Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Gabe Green
Phil Rowe
62%
38%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 8"
80"
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Green: 70 sig / 2 TD ·
Rowe: 42 sig / 2 TD
Gabe Green
Phil Rowe
33
Sig strikes landed
79
71
Sig strikes attempted
170
55
Total strikes landed
84
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
108s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Gabe Green
"Gifted"
12-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
Blue corner
Phil Rowe
"The Fresh Prince"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31