Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Polyana Viana
Mallory Martin
60%
40%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
63"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
14-9
Career record
Δ 1 pp
8-5
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Viana: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Martin: 5 sig / 1 TD
Polyana Viana
Mallory Martin
33
Sig strikes landed
29
71
Sig strikes attempted
67
63
Total strikes landed
43
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
132s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
53%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Polyana Viana
"Dama de Ferro"
14-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
L
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
L
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
Blue corner
W1
Mallory Martin
8-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—