Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Rodolfo Vieira
Anthony Hernandez
38%
62%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
12-5
Career record
Δ 8 pp
15-4
W2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Vieira: 9 sig / 4 TD ·
Hernandez: 32 sig / 0 TD
Rodolfo Vieira
Anthony Hernandez
24
Sig strikes landed
21
45
Sig strikes attempted
44
42
Total strikes landed
36
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.7
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
201s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
44%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Rodolfo Vieira
12-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
Blue corner
L1
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
15-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—