Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Maycee Barber
Alexa Grasso
66%
34%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
23
Age
Δ 5y
28
15-4
Career record
Δ 4 pp
18-5-1
L1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barber: 40 sig / 3 TD ·
Grasso: 38 sig / 0 TD
Maycee Barber
Alexa Grasso
56
Sig strikes landed
52
133
Sig strikes attempted
117
83
Total strikes landed
77
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.0
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
163s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Maycee Barber
"The Future"
15-4
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Switch
Age
23
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
Blue corner
W1
Alexa Grasso
18-5-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—