Prelims1
Welterweight
David Zawada vs Ramazan Emeev
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
David Zawada
Ramazan Emeev
51%
49%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
30
Age
Δ 3y
34
18-7
Career record
Δ 6 pp
21-6
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Zawada: 44 sig / 1 TD ·
Emeev: 53 sig / 4 TD
David Zawada
Ramazan Emeev
37
Sig strikes landed
39
89
Sig strikes attempted
87
52
Total strikes landed
61
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.9
2.0
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
92s
Control time
193s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
David Zawada
"Sagat"
18-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
Blue corner
W1
Ramazan Emeev
"Gorets"
21-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—