Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jimmy Flick
Cody Durden
56%
44%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
30
Age
Δ 1y
30
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Current streak
D1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Flick: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Durden: 21 sig / 2 TD
Jimmy Flick
Cody Durden
37
Sig strikes landed
37
80
Sig strikes attempted
79
52
Total strikes landed
51
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
131s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jimmy Flick
"The Brick"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
D1
Cody Durden
"Custom Made"
18-10-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-0
Last 1
D
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
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