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Prelims1 Catch Weight

Christos Giagos vs Carlton Minus

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Christos Giagos
Carlton Minus
54% 46%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
20-13
Career record
Δ 11 pp
10-4
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Giagos: 31 sig / 5 TD · Minus: 28 sig / 0 TD
Christos Giagos
Carlton Minus
53
Sig strikes landed
49
126
Sig strikes attempted
110
80
Total strikes landed
62
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
7.2
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
245s
Control time
65s
Method
Decision
83%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Christos Giagos

"The Spartan"
20-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
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W UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
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L UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
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Blue corner
L1

Carlton Minus

"Clutch"
10-4 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
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