Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michel Pereira
Khaos Williams
72%
28%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
77"
27
Age
Δ 0y
27
33-14
Career record
Δ 7 pp
17-5
W1
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pereira: 44 sig / 2 TD ·
Williams: 55 sig / 0 TD
Michel Pereira
Khaos Williams
29
Sig strikes landed
37
67
Sig strikes attempted
80
40
Total strikes landed
39
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
37s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Michel Pereira
"Demolidor"
33-14
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
Blue corner
W2
Khaos Williams
"The OxFighter"
17-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—