Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Gavin Tucker
Billy Quarantillo
43%
57%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
14-3
Career record
Δ 9 pp
19-7
W2
Current streak
W3
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Tucker: 106 sig / 7 TD ·
Quarantillo: 84 sig / 0 TD
Gavin Tucker
Billy Quarantillo
44
Sig strikes landed
57
110
Sig strikes attempted
125
59
Total strikes landed
83
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
5.1
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
121s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Gavin Tucker
"Guv'nor"
14-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
L
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
—
Blue corner
W3
Billy Quarantillo
19-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—