Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Junior Dos Santos
Ciryl Gane
46%
54%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 4"
81"
37
Age
Δ 6y
31
21-10
Career record
Δ 20 pp
14-2
L3
Current streak
W3
19
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Dos Santos: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Gane: 59 sig / 0 TD
Junior Dos Santos
Ciryl Gane
57
Sig strikes landed
68
121
Sig strikes attempted
145
67
Total strikes landed
82
0.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
0.9
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
24s
Control time
52s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
21-10
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
19 fights · 12-7
Last 5
L
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
Blue corner
W3
Ciryl Gane
"Bon Gamin"
14-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—