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Roman Dolidze vs John Allan

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Roman Dolidze
John Allan
61% 39%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
32
Age
Δ 5y
28
16-5
Career record
Δ 11 pp
13-7
W1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Dolidze: 51 sig / 3 TD · Allan: 29 sig / 1 TD
Roman Dolidze
John Allan
30
Sig strikes landed
17
52
Sig strikes attempted
36
37
Total strikes landed
24
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
233s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Roman Dolidze

16-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
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Blue corner

John Allan

13-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-0