Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sumudaerji
Malcolm Gordon
84%
16%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
25
Age
Δ 6y
30
20-7
Career record
Δ 13 pp
14-9
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Sumudaerji: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Gordon: 0 sig / 0 TD
Sumudaerji
Malcolm Gordon
38
Sig strikes landed
25
82
Sig strikes attempted
72
61
Total strikes landed
44
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
133s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Sumudaerji
"The Tibetan Eagle"
20-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
Blue corner
L1
Malcolm Gordon
"X"
14-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—