Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Alex Morono
Rhys McKee
62%
38%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 6"
78"
30
Age
Δ 5y
25
24-14
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-8-1
L1
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Morono: 176 sig / 3 TD ·
McKee: 124 sig / 0 TD
Alex Morono
Rhys McKee
78
Sig strikes landed
41
149
Sig strikes attempted
91
101
Total strikes landed
45
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
120s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
24-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
10 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
Blue corner
L1
Rhys McKee
"Skeletor"
14-8-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—