Back to UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos
Prelims1 Heavyweight

Don'Tale Mayes vs Roque Martinez

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Don'Tale Mayes
Roque Martinez
60% 40%
Why
81"
Reach
Δ 9"
72"
29
Age
Δ 6y
35
11-10
Career record
Δ 5 pp
15-9-2
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mayes: 59 sig / 1 TD · Martinez: 58 sig / 1 TD
Don'Tale Mayes
Roque Martinez
35
Sig strikes landed
33
84
Sig strikes attempted
55
56
Total strikes landed
38
0.7
Takedowns landed
2.0
1.6
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
103s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Don'Tale Mayes

"Lord Kong"
11-10 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
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L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
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Blue corner
L1

Roque Martinez

15-9-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
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