Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Max Griffin
Ramiz Brahimaj
48%
52%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
35
Age
Δ 7y
28
L2
Current streak
—
9
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Griffin: 74 sig / 0 TD ·
Brahimaj: 45 sig / 0 TD
Max Griffin
Ramiz Brahimaj
51
Sig strikes landed
43
105
Sig strikes attempted
95
71
Total strikes landed
58
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
129s
Control time
124s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Max Griffin
"Pain"
20-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
9 fights · 3-6
Last 5
L
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
L
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
Blue corner
Ramiz Brahimaj
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28