Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Raoni Barcelos
Khalid Taha
75%
25%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
34
Age
Δ 5y
29
23-5
Career record
Δ 10 pp
13-5
W4
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barcelos: 120 sig / 2 TD ·
Taha: 49 sig / 0 TD
Raoni Barcelos
Khalid Taha
42
Sig strikes landed
29
80
Sig strikes attempted
72
70
Total strikes landed
42
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
4.5
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
201s
Control time
56s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Raoni Barcelos
23-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Khalid Taha
"The Warrior"
13-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—