Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Giga Chikadze
Jamey Simmons
67%
33%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
W4
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Chikadze: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Simmons: 2 sig / 0 TD
Giga Chikadze
Jamey Simmons
52
Sig strikes landed
35
118
Sig strikes attempted
95
65
Total strikes landed
60
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
56s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Giga Chikadze
"Ninja"
16-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
Jamey Simmons
"The Afro Samurai"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28