Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Andrei Arlovski
Tanner Boser
35%
65%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
42
Age
Δ 12y
29
35-24
Career record
Δ 6 pp
23-11-1
W1
Current streak
W2
18
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Arlovski: 34 sig / 0 TD ·
Boser: 68 sig / 0 TD
Andrei Arlovski
Tanner Boser
43
Sig strikes landed
57
107
Sig strikes attempted
111
49
Total strikes landed
61
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
-0.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.50
78s
Control time
52s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
35-24
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
42
In our database
18 fights · 8-9
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
L
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
Blue corner
W2
Tanner Boser
"The Bulldozer"
23-11-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—